The price of Bitcoin (BTC 3.49%) soared 119% in 2024, and the bulls have been out in full force lately, making predictions about where the cryptocurrency is headed this year. Most recently, the head of research at Fundstrat, Tom Lee, said the price of one Bitcoin could reach as high as $250,000 by the end of 2025.
That would be a staggering 160% increase in Bitcoin’s price if the high-end of Lee’s prediction proves true. Of course, no one knows for sure where Bitcoin is headed this year, but there are a few reasons Bitcoin bulls aren’t wrong to be optimistic. Here are a few things that could push the cryptocurrency higher this year.
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1. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are driving interest higher
Last year, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which follow Bitcoin’s price movements. ETFs can be easily bought and sold like stocks, making them an easy way for investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without having to buy the crypto itself.
There are currently 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs, two of the most popular being iShares Bitcoin Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF. Their widespread availability has helped push Bitcoin’s price higher. All these ETFs combined have more than $100 billion in managed assets, and CNBC recently said the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs has been “one of the most successful ETF launches in history.”
To put that $100 billion invested in spot Bitcoin ETFs in perspective, there’s currently $125 billion invested in physical gold ETFs, which have been around for two decades. If their popularity in 2024 is any indicator, more investors may be willing to dip their toes into the Bitcoin ETF waters this year. If that happens, Bitcoin’s price will likely go up.
2. Potential for a more favorable regulatory climate
Another potential catalyst for Bitcoin’s price this year is that President-elect Trump has indicated that his administration may create a favorable regulatory environment for Bitcoin. Trump has hired venture capitalist David Sacks as his “crypto czar,” and he is expected to provide a light regulatory touch to crypto.
President-elect Trump has also chosen Paul Atkins, a notable crypto backer, to head the SEC. Trump said recently that Atkins “recognizes that digital assets & other innovations are crucial” to his administration’s agenda.
Bitcoin’s price has risen more than 40% (as of this writing) since the election, so some of the optimism about Trump’s presidency regarding Bitcoin might already be baked into its current price. But for some investors who’ve been waiting on Bitcoin’s sidelines, the incoming administration’s stance on cryptocurrency may be enough to convince them to jump in, which could lead to further Bitcoin gains.
3. Digital assets are gaining ground with institutional investors
While institutional investors have focused much of their attention on spot Bitcoin ETFs, there’s also an increasing appetite for investing in other digital assets beyond the ETFs as well. An Ernst & Young report found that 60% of institutions that have invested in spot cryptocurrency are also invested in other crypto beyond Bitcoin and will likely allocate more money to digital assets in 2025.
This indicates that institutional investors are generally becoming more open to cryptocurrencies. That could help Bitcoin’s price because as institutions normalize the idea of buying cryptocurrencies, the average investor will likely view Bitcoin as less of an unconventional investment.
None of this guarantees Bitcoin will reach $250,000 in 2025
Even in the most optimistic scenario for Bitcoin, the coin’s price would have to jump 2.5 times from its current price to reach the top of Lee’s prediction. That would be quite a feat, considering Bitcoin’s price has already more than doubled over the past year.
Most people who’ve made predictions about Bitcoin have been wrong at some point (I certainly have). So, deciding to buy Bitcoin solely based on someone’s prediction probably isn’t the best idea.
Instead, it’s worth taking a close look at what’s happening with Bitcoin right now, including the regulatory climate and increasing availability via ETFs, while factoring in the crypto’s inherent volatility when making your final decision on buying Bitcoin.
Chris Neiger has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
