Why you need caution trading Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week


Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trades at $20,390, a clear price decline since topping $21,000 late last month. There is no doubt that BTC remains resilient against a less reassuring macro outlook. The cryptocurrency has strongly defended the $19,500, which has become a crucial psychological level. Consequently, BTC’s technical outlook remains bullish as long as this level is maintained. But investors may need to exercise caution this week.

The Federal Reserve interest rate decision remains the focal point this week. We already know that inflation has been running higher than estimated. With that in mind, investors have earmarked a 75-basis points rate hike when the Fed issues a statement. The expectation has raised caution in all markets, which has been responsible for the BTC slowdown. A rate hike followed by a hawkish Fed statement could spook markets and force a further price fall.

On the contrary, expectations grew mixed the last one week that Fed may settle for a soft stance. With growing recession fears, analysts projected that the Fed would move slower. For this reason, BTC saw some recoveries to above $21,000.

As the Fed nears its policy decision, mixed expectations may not be good for Bitcoin. That is captured in the price reaction, which has stalled despite remaining stable.

Bitcoin stalls ahead of FOMC decision

Source – TradingView

On the daily chart, Bitcoin met a minor resistance at $21,000. Momentum is weakening, but the MACD indicator remains in the bullish zone.

The 20-day MA crossed above the 50-day MA, suggesting that BTC was heading higher. Both moving averages support the cryptocurrency below.

Should you buy BTC?

The technical indicators and the $19,500 support give a bullish view of the BTC price. However, the sentiment around cryptocurrencies, in general, is mixed. Investors are turning to the Fed statement to assess a bull scenario.

A dovish Fed could be the trigger for BTC to move higher. Similarly, the cryptocurrency could head back to $19,500 on a hawkish Fed. Investors should be patient for now and gauge the BTC price based on the Fed decision.

Where to buy BTC

Skilling

Skilling is a Scandinavian based cryptocurrency broker which has a desktop website as well as apps for iOS and Android devices.

It supports over 50 cryptocurrencies and it has a demo account to allow users to gain familiarity with the platform.

Skilling has no hidden fees, it is an officially regulated broker and it supports a wide range of payment methods.


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eToro

eToro is a global social investment brokerage company which offers over 75 cryptocurrencies to invest in.

It offers crypto trading commission-free and users on the platform have the option to manually invest or socially invest.

eToro even has a unique CopyTrader system which allows users to automatically copy the trades of popular investors.


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