Will Bitcoin Drop Again? Trump’s Reserve Strategy Sparks Price Volatility


The cryptocurrency market is reeling from a historic
shift with Bitcoin now being a recognized U.S. strategic asset. President
Donald Trump’s recent executive order prevents the government from selling its
200,000 BTC holdings, according to a research by global brokerage firm FBS.

The move initially sent Bitcoin soaring past $94,000,
but details of the plan led to market volatility, with prices briefly dipping
below $85,000. Investors are now questioning whether this marks the beginning
of a new financial era or a strategic political maneuver.

From Euphoria to Volatility

When Trump first hinted at a government-backed crypto
reserve on March 2, Bitcoin jumped over 10%, while Ether surged 13%. The market
added over $300 billion in value within hours, with investors interpreting the
move as a strong endorsement of crypto adoption.

Bitcoin Price Chart, Source: CoinMarketCap

However, when the White House clarified that the
reserve would only include confiscated Bitcoin without immediate purchases, the
market corrected. By March 7, Bitcoin briefly dropped below $85,000. Yet, the
downturn was short-lived, and Bitcoin rebounded to near $89,000 the following
day.

Despite the pullback, Bitcoin remains at historically
high levels, benefiting from the 2024 halving, which cut Bitcoin’s mining
reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC—historically a key driver of long-term price
appreciation.

Bitcoin Joins the U.S. Reserve Strategy

Observers are drawing comparisons to the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, which fueled institutional adoption, and to historical halvings, which have driven long-term bull cycles. They also compare the move to El Salvador’s
Bitcoin adoption, though the scale is vastly different.

El Salvador has accumulated 6,100 BTC, whereas the
U.S. reserve starts with over 200,000 BTC. Some see this as a pivotal moment,
akin to the U.S. establishing its Strategic Petroleum Reserve in the 1970s—a
step that reshaped global energy markets.

The U.S. decision is prompting international
reactions. Japan, a pioneer in crypto regulation, may consider similar
policies. European policymakers are weighing whether to integrate Bitcoin into
reserve strategies to avoid being left behind.

Some geopolitical rivals, however, view the move with
suspicion. China, which has banned Bitcoin trading, is doubling down on its
digital yuan initiative. Russia, already exploring crypto for sanctions
evasion, might see the U.S. reserve as a reason to accelerate its own digital
asset strategies.

Long-Term Impact: A Game Changer for Crypto?

Looking ahead, the U.S. Bitcoin reserve could fuel
wider adoption. Standard Chartered has projected Bitcoin to reach $200,000 by
2025 and even $500,000 by 2028 under the right conditions. Institutional
investors, spurred by government endorsement, may accelerate their Bitcoin
holdings.

Trump’s move could also push regulatory agencies to
fast-track approvals for more crypto ETFs, expanding access to Bitcoin and
potentially other cryptocurrencies.

The cryptocurrency market is reeling from a historic
shift with Bitcoin now being a recognized U.S. strategic asset. President
Donald Trump’s recent executive order prevents the government from selling its
200,000 BTC holdings, according to a research by global brokerage firm FBS.

The move initially sent Bitcoin soaring past $94,000,
but details of the plan led to market volatility, with prices briefly dipping
below $85,000. Investors are now questioning whether this marks the beginning
of a new financial era or a strategic political maneuver.

From Euphoria to Volatility

When Trump first hinted at a government-backed crypto
reserve on March 2, Bitcoin jumped over 10%, while Ether surged 13%. The market
added over $300 billion in value within hours, with investors interpreting the
move as a strong endorsement of crypto adoption.

Bitcoin Price Chart, Source: CoinMarketCap

However, when the White House clarified that the
reserve would only include confiscated Bitcoin without immediate purchases, the
market corrected. By March 7, Bitcoin briefly dropped below $85,000. Yet, the
downturn was short-lived, and Bitcoin rebounded to near $89,000 the following
day.

Despite the pullback, Bitcoin remains at historically
high levels, benefiting from the 2024 halving, which cut Bitcoin’s mining
reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC—historically a key driver of long-term price
appreciation.

Bitcoin Joins the U.S. Reserve Strategy

Observers are drawing comparisons to the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, which fueled institutional adoption, and to historical halvings, which have driven long-term bull cycles. They also compare the move to El Salvador’s
Bitcoin adoption, though the scale is vastly different.

El Salvador has accumulated 6,100 BTC, whereas the
U.S. reserve starts with over 200,000 BTC. Some see this as a pivotal moment,
akin to the U.S. establishing its Strategic Petroleum Reserve in the 1970s—a
step that reshaped global energy markets.

The U.S. decision is prompting international
reactions. Japan, a pioneer in crypto regulation, may consider similar
policies. European policymakers are weighing whether to integrate Bitcoin into
reserve strategies to avoid being left behind.

Some geopolitical rivals, however, view the move with
suspicion. China, which has banned Bitcoin trading, is doubling down on its
digital yuan initiative. Russia, already exploring crypto for sanctions
evasion, might see the U.S. reserve as a reason to accelerate its own digital
asset strategies.

Long-Term Impact: A Game Changer for Crypto?

Looking ahead, the U.S. Bitcoin reserve could fuel
wider adoption. Standard Chartered has projected Bitcoin to reach $200,000 by
2025 and even $500,000 by 2028 under the right conditions. Institutional
investors, spurred by government endorsement, may accelerate their Bitcoin
holdings.

Trump’s move could also push regulatory agencies to
fast-track approvals for more crypto ETFs, expanding access to Bitcoin and
potentially other cryptocurrencies.





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